Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.025485 0.027484 0.029496 0.031669 0.033946 0.036260 0.038785
2025-12-14 0.021088 0.024164 0.027380 0.030980 0.034883 0.038975 0.043577
2025-12-21 0.018195 0.021856 0.025797 0.030327 0.035361 0.040756 0.046947
2025-12-28 0.016861 0.021035 0.025634 0.031029 0.037135 0.043787 0.051535
2026-01-04 0.015427 0.019944 0.025030 0.031109 0.038103 0.045832 0.054952
2026-01-11 0.014127 0.018894 0.024371 0.031029 0.038806 0.047512 0.057901
2026-01-18 0.013439 0.018504 0.024424 0.031725 0.040360 0.050126 0.061887
2026-01-25 0.012412 0.017628 0.023838 0.031612 0.040923 0.051567 0.064502
2026-02-01 0.011527 0.016870 0.023343 0.031560 0.041519 0.053015 0.067103
2026-02-08 0.010690 0.016120 0.022812 0.031425 0.041982 0.054280 0.069472
2026-02-15 0.009928 0.015420 0.022305 0.031283 0.042406 0.055477 0.071743
2026-02-22 0.009226 0.014759 0.021810 0.031124 0.042783 0.056600 0.073913
2026-03-01 0.008319 0.013811 0.020958 0.030547 0.042704 0.057254 0.075638
2026-03-08 0.007431 0.012847 0.020053 0.029885 0.042512 0.057781 0.077238
2026-03-15 0.006639 0.011961 0.019203 0.029249 0.042315 0.058273 0.078771
2026-03-22 0.006386 0.011837 0.019370 0.029933 0.043790 0.060822 0.082817
2026-03-29 0.005948 0.011409 0.019094 0.030011 0.044473 0.062383 0.085651
2026-04-05 0.005495 0.010927 0.018718 0.029933 0.044938 0.063661 0.088132
2026-04-12 0.005311 0.010850 0.018905 0.030613 0.046390 0.066183 0.092163
2026-04-19 0.004906 0.010395 0.018528 0.030503 0.046791 0.067368 0.094529
2026-04-26 0.004549 0.009992 0.018207 0.030452 0.047258 0.068631 0.096989
2026-05-03 0.004197 0.009571 0.017841 0.030320 0.047603 0.069730 0.099240
2026-05-10 0.003868 0.009168 0.017480 0.030181 0.047926 0.070793 0.101442